Wednesday, November 30, 2022
HomeSportsNFL Week 11 betting notes

NFL Week 11 betting notes

The Minnesota Vikings improved to 8-1 final week, tied for one of the best file within the NFL. Yet they’re presently dwelling underdogs in opposition to the Dallas Cowboys. It could be simply the fourth time for the reason that 1970 AFL/NFL merger {that a} workforce 8-1 or higher is a house underdog, and the primary time since 1976 when that workforce began its common quarterback.

For the twenty second straight assembly, the New England Patriots are favored over New York Jets, the longest energetic streak within the NFL. The Jets are 4-0 outright and ATS on the street this season, the one workforce unbeaten each outright and ATS on the street.

The hottest workforce within the NFL from a selection perspective is the Tennessee Titans, who’ve coated seven straight video games. They are tied with the New York Giants for one of the best mark within the NFL. The 7-2 Giants are solely three-point favorites at dwelling over the 3-6 Detroit Lions

Season Notes

  • Underdogs: 81-61-5 ATS (have been .500 or higher every week)

  • Home groups: 71-74-5 ATS

  • Unders: 86-62-2 (unders have been .500 or higher each week)

  • Best groups ATS: Tennessee, New York Giants (7-2)

  • Worst workforce ATS: Los Angeles Rams (2-6-1)

  • Best over workforce: Cleveland (6-2-1)

  • Best beneath workforce: Denver (8-1)


Tennessee Titans at Green Bay Packers (-3), Thursday at 8:15 ET

  • Tennessee has coated seven straight video games, the longest energetic streak within the league, and Tennessee’s longest streak since 2008 (eight straight). Tennessee is 7-2 ATS, tied with the New York Giants for one of the best mark within the league.

  • Tennessee video games have gone beneath the overall in six straight video games.

  • Tennessee is 5-0 ATS this season when the road is between +3 and -3.

  • Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in opposition to groups with shedding information this season.

  • Green Bay is 0-5 ATS of their previous 5 video games as a favourite (1-5 ATS this season).

  • Aaron Rodgers is 11-3-1 ATS in his profession on Thursdays.

  • Unders in prime-time video games are 19-11-1.


  • Atlanta is 0-4 ATS of their previous 4 video games after beginning the season 6-0 ATS.

  • Chicago video games have gone over the overall in 4 straight.

  • Atlanta is 1-4 ATS as a house favourite beneath Arthur Smith (2-8 ATS since 2020).

  • Justin Fields is 6-11 ATS as an underdog in his profession.


  • Buffalo is 0-3 ATS of their final three video games with back-to-back upset losses as a minimum of 6.5-point favorites. Only two groups within the Super Bowl period have misplaced three straight video games, all as a minimum of a 6.5-point favourite (2002 New Orleans, 1995 Miami).

  • Buffalo is one in every of three groups to be favored in each recreation this season (Tampa Bay: 10, Philadelphia: 9 coming into this week).

  • Kevin Stefanski is 7-1 ATS as an underdog of a minimum of 3.5 factors. His largest profession underdog position is eight factors within the 2020 Divisional Playoffs at Kansas City, which he coated.

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  • Lamar Jackson is 8-3-1 ATS as a double-digit favourite within the common season (12-0 outright).

  • Baltimore is 0-3 ATS as a house favourite this season. Lamar Jackson is 10-16 ATS as a house favourite.

  • Baker Mayfield is 0-5 ATS in his previous 5 conferences in opposition to Baltimore.

  • Carolina is 0-3 ATS in opposition to groups with successful information this season.

  • Double-digit underdogs are 6-1 ATS since Week 7 (9-5 ATS this season).


  • Indianapolis video games are 8-2 to the beneath this season. Under are 14-3 in Indianapolis’ previous 17 video games. Four straight Philadelphia video games have gone over the overall.

  • Jeff Saturday seeks to be the eighth coach within the Super Bowl period to win every of his first two video games, each as an underdog. No coach within the Super Bowl period has gained every of his first two video games as a minimum of a four-point underdog.

  • Jalen Hurts is 5-10 ATS in his profession on the street, together with 2-6 ATS as a street favourite (1-3 ATS this season).


  • Taylor Heinicke is 5-0-1 ATS in his previous six begins (3-0-1 ATS this season). He is 9-2-1 ATS in his previous 12 begins. Heinicke is 2-0 ATS in his profession as a street favourite.

  • Washington is 4-0 ATS of their previous 4 video games as a favourite.

  • Since 1994, groups coming off a win as a double-digit underdog are 2-10 ATS within the following recreation when they’re on brief relaxation.

  • This is the sixteenth consecutive recreation Houston will probably be an underdog, the longest energetic streak within the NFL and the second-longest streak in franchise historical past (19 straight in 2002-03). Houston is the one workforce to be an underdog in each recreation this season. This is Davis Mills’ twenty first profession begin. He is the fifth quarterback within the Super Bowl period to start his profession as an underdog in his first 20 begins (Troy Aikman, Tim Couch, Dan Fouts, Randy Johnson).


Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints (-4), Sunday at 1 ET

  • New Orleans is 1-4 ATS of their previous 5 video games. Their previous three video games went beneath the overall.

  • Dennis Allen is 3-7 ATS in his profession as a favourite (5-5 SU), together with 1-2 ATS with New Orleans (2-1 SU).

  • This is the third dome recreation prior to now three seasons to characteristic a complete within the 30s. The earlier two went beneath.

  • Los Angeles has not been greater than a three-point underdog for the reason that 2020 Divisional Playoffs (+7 at Green Bay).

  • Andy Dalton is 24-11-1 ATS in his profession as a minimum of a four-point favourite (1-0 ATS with New Orleans).


Detroit Lions at New York Giants (-3), Sunday at 1 ET

  • Since 2015, groups with 7+ wins are 6-0-1 ATS in opposition to groups with 3 or fewer wins when they aren’t favored by greater than three factors. Those groups are 10-3-1 ATS when not favored by a minimum of 4 factors.

  • New York is 7-2 ATS this season, tied with Tennessee for one of the best mark within the league. New York is 5-1 ATS in its previous six video games and 5-0 ATS in opposition to groups with shedding information this season. New York can also be 4-1 ATS at dwelling.

  • Dan Campbell is 3-6 ATS with Detroit when he’s not a minimum of a four-point underdog.

  • Four straight New York video games have gone beneath the overall.

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New York Jets at New England Patriots (-3), Sunday at 1 ET

  • New York is 4-0 outright and ATS on the street this season, together with three wins as an underdog. New York is the one workforce undefeated each outright and ATS on the street.

  • New England has coated three straight video games when the road is between +3 and -3. New York is 5-1 ATS of their previous six video games in that position.

  • New England has gained 13 straight conferences, going 9-4 ATS with 4 straight covers.

  • Since 2002, there has solely been one occasion of New England being favored by three factors or fewer at dwelling in opposition to New York (-3 in 2020). New England has gained 11 straight dwelling conferences (6-5 ATS).

  • This is the twenty second straight assembly New England has been favored over New York, the longest energetic streak in any head-to-head matchup together with playoffs.

  • Bill Belichick is 2-7 ATS in dwelling video games following a bye week with New England. He is 3-11 ATS off a bye at dwelling together with his time in Cleveland.

  • Unders in division video games are 30-16-1 this season.


  • Las Vegas is 9-1 ATS (8-2 SU) in its final 10 conferences in opposition to Denver, together with 5-0 ATS as an underdog in that span (3-2 SU).

  • Denver is 0-3 ATS (1-2 SU) as a favourite this season, with all three video games going beneath the overall.

  • Denver video games are 8-1 to the beneath this season, the best mark within the league. Five straight Denver video games have gone beneath the overall.

  • Las Vegas is 0-3 ATS of their previous three video games.

  • Josh McDaniels is 10-21 ATS in his previous 31 video games as a head coach after beginning his profession 6-0 ATS.

  • Unders in division video games are 30-16-1 this season.


  • Cincinnati has been a street favourite of a minimum of 4 factors in Pittsburgh simply twice within the Super Bowl period (-4.5 in 1986, -5.5 in 1971). Both instances, Cincinnati misplaced outright. In the Super Bowl period, Cincinnati is 1-4 outright and ATS as a street favourite in Pittsburgh (final occasion: 2013).

  • Mike Tomlin is 14-4-2 ATS as a house underdog (13-7 outright), together with 7-0-2 ATS over the past 5 seasons (7-2 outright).

  • Mike Tomlin is 5-2 outright and ATS in his profession in opposition to Cincinnati as an underdog.

  • Pittsburgh is 22-10-2 ATS as an underdog over the previous 5 seasons.

  • Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS of their previous seven video games.

  • Unders in division video games are 30-16-1 this season.

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Dallas Cowboys (-1) at Minnesota Vikings, Sunday at 4:25 ET

  • Minnesota could be the fourth workforce for the reason that 1970 AFL/NFL merger to be a regular-season dwelling underdog regardless of a file of 8-1 or higher. The final two cases have been each final-week video games the place Kansas City (2020) and Green Bay (2011) benched their common beginning QBs for relaxation. The solely different occasion in that span was by the 1976 Oakland Raiders (11-1), who have been a two-point dwelling underdog to Cincinnati (9-3). Oakland gained 35-20.

  • Over the final two seasons, Dallas is an NFL-best 19-7 ATS total, together with 13-4 ATS as a favourite, 10-3 ATS on the street, and 6-1 ATS after a loss.

  • Minnesota is 4-1-1 ATS when not favored by a minimum of 3.5 factors this season.

  • All 5 conferences between Dak Prescott and Kirk Cousins have gone over the overall.


  • Patrick Mahomes is 13-0 outright in his profession in street division video games (9-4 ATS).

  • Justin Herbert is 3-1 ATS in opposition to Kansas City. This is the second-largest dwelling underdog position of Justin Herbert’s profession (if 3.5 or larger). His solely bigger dwelling underdog position was in his first profession begin in 2020 (+9 vs Kansas City; coated unfold).

  • Los Angeles is 1-3 ATS at dwelling this season, 0-3 ATS previous three dwelling video games, all as a favourite.

  • Kansas City is 49-26-1 ATS on the street beneath Andy Reid.

  • Unders in division video games are 30-16-1 this season. Unders in prime-time video games are 19-11-1, together with 8-2 on Sunday Night Football.


  • Kyle Shanahan is 4-9-1 ATS as a regular-season favourite of a minimum of seven factors and 2-8-1 ATS with Jimmy Garoppolo.

  • Kliff Kingsbury is 17-16-1 outright as an underdog and 11-14 outright as a favourite. He is the one coach within the Super Bowl period with a file over .500 as an underdog and under .500 as a favourite. Kingsbury is 22-11-1 ATS as an underdog and 4-1-1 ATS when getting a minimum of seven factors.

  • Arizona is 6-1-1 ATS in opposition to San Francisco over the previous 5 seasons. Kyle Shanahan is 2-7-1 ATS in opposition to Arizona, together with 1-4-1 ATS in opposition to Kliff Kingsbury.

  • Four straight Arizona video games have gone over the overall.

  • San Francisco is 3-0 outright and ATS in division video games this season.

  • Favorites are 4-0 ATS in Mexico City video games all-time.

  • Unders in division video games are 30-16-1 this season. Unders in prime-time video games are 19-11-1.

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