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NFL Week 18 picks, schedule, playoff situations, odds, accidents, stats


The Week 18 NFL schedule for the 2022 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we acquired you coated with what that you must know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters carry us the largest keys to each recreation and a daring prediction for every matchup.

Additionally, ESPN Stats & Information offers an enormous stat to know, playoff clinching situations and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Football Power Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a recreation projection. Finally, Seth Walder and Eric Moody give us ultimate rating picks for each recreation. Everything you wish to know is right here in a single spot that will help you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.

Let’s get into Sunday’s Week 18 slate, together with the Packers internet hosting the Lions with a playoff berth up for grabs and an AFC showdown between the Bengals and Ravens.

Jump to a matchup:

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: BUF -7 (42.5)

What to observe for: It is a win-and-in state of affairs for New England with the ultimate wild-card spot on the road. But to get to the playoffs, they must take down a Bills crew coming off an emotional week following Damar Hamlin’s collapse on the sphere resulting from cardiac arrest on Monday evening. The Bills dominated the groups’ assembly earlier this season, virtually doubling the Patriots’ time of possession and holding New England to only 60 dashing yards. — Alaina Getzenberg

Bold prediction: Patriots operating again Damien Harris shall be an surprising breakout participant, dashing for greater than 100 yards towards a Bills run protection that ranks thirteenth within the NFL in common yards allowed per carry (4.3). Harris’ return from a four-game absence resulting from a thigh damage was an necessary enhance to a New England offense that was relying too closely on fatigued Rhamondre Stevenson. — Mike Reiss

Stat to know: The Bills may match the franchise report for many wins in a season (13), completed thrice beforehand in 1990, 1991 and 2020.

What’s at stake: The Patriots are enjoying for the playoffs, needing a win to clinch the ultimate AFC wild-card spot. But they will additionally make it with a loss, so long as each the Dolphins and Steelers lose and Jacksonville wins. ESPN’s FPI is giving New England a 33.2% likelihood. The Bills are already AFC East champs, they usually can change into the 1-seed — and achieve home-field benefit all through the AFC playoffs — if the beat New England and the Chiefs lose on Saturday. See playoff image.

Injuries: Patriots | Bills

Betting nugget: New England is 0-4 ATS towards groups with successful information this season. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Bills 28, Patriots 17
Walder’s choose: Bills 23, Patriots 19
FPI prediction: BUF, 78.5% (by a mean of 9.2 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Keys for Pats, seven different must-win Week 18 matchups … Hamlin reveals ‘exceptional enchancment’; agent says security is awake … Bengals’ Taylor praises Bills coach McDermott for actions … A heart specialist’s view of what occurred to Hamlin

1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: MIN -7.5 (43.5)

What to observe for: Justin Fields’ second NFL season ends 64 yards shy of the single-season quarterback dashing report after he was dominated out towards Minnesota with a hip damage. Nathan Peterman will begin for Chicago. Meanwhile, the NFC No. 2 seed remains to be in play for the Vikings as long as they win at Soldier Field and the 49ers lose to the Cardinals. — Courtney Cronin

Bold prediction: The Vikings’ protection could have its finest statistical day of the season with Fields sidelined. Even with Fields on the sphere, the Bears managed simply 230 yards final week towards the Lions’ woeful protection. The Vikings enter this recreation giving up 396.8 yards per recreation, No. 31 within the NFL. Their season low for yards allowed was 263 in Week 9 at Washington. They’ll maintain the Bears beneath that threshold. — Kevin Seifert

Stat to know: Kirk Cousins is tied with Dak Prescott and Derek Carr for league-lead in interceptions (14).

What’s at stake: The Vikings are locked in as NFC North champs however don’t have a shot on the No. 1 seed. They are more than likely to be the third seed, organising a wild-card matchup with the Giants. The Bears have been eradicated however are proper within the combine for the No. 1 draft choose, which ESPN’s FPI at present offers them a 48.4% likelihood to land. They must lose and see the Texans beat the Colts. See playoff image.

Injuries: Vikings | Bears

Betting nugget: Minnesota is 0-4 ATS in its previous 4 video games. Six straight Minnesota video games have gone over the entire. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Vikings 23, Bears 10
Walder’s choose: Vikings 20, Bears 13
FPI prediction: MIN, 64.2% (by a mean of 4.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: ‘There has by no means been something like this’: How 12-4 Vikings stay an enigma … Bears’ Fields out Sunday, ending shot at QB dashing mark … Vikings piecing collectively offensive line as accidents mount … Will it’s the Bears at No. 1 within the draft?

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: IND -2.5 (38)

What to observe for: The Texans would personal the No. 1 total draft alternative if the season ended at this time, however that would change with a win. The Colts, who’re angling to amass a franchise quarterback, at present personal the fifth total choose (per ESPN’s FPI projections) however may slide with a win. Every spot on the draft board is valuable while you’ve endured the sort of quarterback morass they’ve in Indianapolis. — Stephen Holder

Bold prediction: The Texans win this recreation and lose the No. 1 total choose. Colts quarterback Sam Ehlinger has began two video games this yr, and the Colts are 0-2 in these begins, as he is averaged 152 yards passing with zero landing passes. They additionally averaged 9.5 factors per recreation beneath Ehlinger. The Colts have not been nice at operating the ball both since Jonathan Taylor landed on IR. The Texans will not want to attain a lot to beat the Colts, and attending to 17 factors ought to be sufficient. — DJ Bien-Aime

Stat to know: The Colts are at present on a six-game dropping streak, their longest since dropping six in a row in 2017.

What’s at stake: Both groups are eradicated from the playoffs, however there’s something massive on the road. The Texans can safe the No. 1 draft choose for April in the event that they lose or the Bears beat the Vikings. ESPN’s FPI is giving Houston a 51.6% likelihood to clinch. See playoff image.

Injuries: Texans | Colts

Betting nugget: Indianapolis is 1-5 ATS as a favourite this season and 1-7 ATS in its previous eight video games in that position. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Colts 20, Texans 13
Walder’s choose: Texans 19, Colts 16
FPI prediction: HOU, 73% (by a mean of seven.2 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Texans’ Hughes credit youngsters for serving to him discover ‘enjoyable’ in sports activities once more’ throughout resurgent yr … Giants’ Thibodeaux not bothered by Saturday’s criticism … Big questions in regards to the No. 1 choose: Can the Texans clinch? … Colts’ Ngakoue to endure throat surgical procedure, positioned on IR

1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: MIA -2.5 (38.5)

What to observe for: The all-time common season collection between the groups is tied at 56-56-1, so the Jets couldn’t solely take the collection lead with a win Sunday, however they might additionally safe their first season sweep of the Dolphins since 2015. Interestingly sufficient, the Jets have by no means overwhelmed QB Tua Tagovailoa however won’t have confronted him in both of those groups’ matchups this season, as Skylar Thompson is predicted to start out for the Dolphins on Sunday. — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Bold prediction: The Jets will fail to attain an offensive landing for the third straight recreation. They’re in a severe funk, having produced solely 4 touchdowns up to now 5 video games (58 possessions). They’re averaging 1.0 level per drive over that span, the bottom within the league. This appears like a hunch that can carry into the offseason. — Rich Cimini

Stat to know: The Dolphins have misplaced 5 straight video games since an 8-3 begin and are hoping to keep away from ending a season with six straight losses for the primary time in franchise historical past.

What’s at stake: The Jets is perhaps eradicated (projected to choose at No. 13 within the draft, per ESPN’s FPI), however the Dolphins nonetheless have rather a lot to play for in Week 18. They want a win and Patriots loss to clinch the ultimate AFC playoff spot. They have a 49.5% likelihood, per ESPN’s FPI. See playoff image.

Injuries: Jets | Dolphins

Betting nugget: New York is 0-3 ATS in its previous three video games. Nine of its previous 11 video games have gone beneath the entire, together with three straight. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Jets 31, Dolphins 27
Walder’s choose: Dolphins 20, Jets 16
FPI prediction: MIA, 63.2% (by a mean of three.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Jets standing by QB Wilson ‘via hell or excessive water’ … Dolphins QB Thompson getting first-team reps in observe … Jets’ revolving door at quarterback: Benchings, accidents and massive questions

1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: NO -3.5 (42)

What to observe for: Saints coach Dennis Allen has been agency about not making main modifications to the lineup with no likelihood of reaching the playoffs, however accidents may tweak {that a} bit. First-round choose Trevor Penning may get his first begin at left deal with rather than James Hurst, and rookie cornerback Alontae Taylor may get again into the beginning lineup resulting from Paulson Adebo’s hamstring damage after enjoying no defensive snaps final week. — Katherine Terrell

Bold prediction: The Panthers will rush for at the least 250 yards towards a New Orleans protection that provides up 127.9 yards a recreation, together with 145 to Carolina in a Week 3 loss. D’Onta Foreman will paved the way with 150 yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries to ship interim coach Steve Wilks off with a 6-6 report. — David Newton

Stat to know: Panthers receiver DJ Moore is 122 receiving yards away from a fourth straight 1,000-yard season.

What’s at stake: Neither crew will make the playoffs. And whereas ESPN’s FPI tasks the Panthers’ draft choose to be No. 9, the Saints don’t have a first-rounder this yr. See playoff image.

Injuries: Panthers | Saints

Betting nugget: Eight of New Orleans’ previous 9 video games have gone beneath the entire, together with 5 straight. Carolina has gone over the entire in 4 straight video games. The previous 4 conferences between these groups went beneath the entire. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Saints 28, Panthers 24
Walder’s choose: Panthers 24, Saints 13
FPI prediction: NO, 59.3% (by a mean of two.7 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Has Panthers interim coach Wilks earned the full-time job? … As younger stars proceed to emerge, the Saints hope to finish season on four-game successful streak … Panthers proprietor, Jim Harbaugh talked teaching job … Jordan turns into Saints’ sack chief, thanks Ryan … Pain of dropping shot at NFC South title reveals how far Panthers have come

1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: ATL -4 (40.5)

What to observe for: Tom Brady has by no means misplaced to the Falcons in his profession — 10-0 within the common season and 1-0 within the postseason. Should Brady begin Sunday, he’ll have an opportunity to increase that streak. Atlanta hasn’t overwhelmed Tampa Bay since 2019 and hasn’t received at house towards the Buccaneers since Oct. 14, 2018. — Michael Rothstein

Bold prediction: Last week might need belonged to Mike Evans, however Russell Gage, who has quietly come on in current weeks, will end with 75 receiving yards and a landing after lacking the primary matchup towards his former crew in Week 5. — Jenna Laine

Stat to know: Brady has 477 completions this season and is 9 shy of breaking the single-season completions report set by himself in 2021.



Stephen A. Smith lays out why the Buccaneers shouldn’t sit their starters vs. the Falcons in Week 18.

What’s at stake: The Buccaneers are in as NFC South champs and would be the No. 4 seed within the playoffs. The Falcons are eradicated and looking out on the No. 8 spot within the draft, per ESPN’s FPI. See playoff image.

Injuries: Buccaneers | Falcons

Betting nugget: Tampa Bay is a league-worst 4-11-1 ATS this season, together with 2-11-1 ATS in its previous 14 video games and 1-5 ATS in its previous six video games. It can also be 0-5 ATS in its previous 5 street video games. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Falcons 23, Buccaneers 17
Walder’s choose: Falcons 27, Buccaneers 17
FPI prediction: TB, 62.8% (by a mean of three.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Bucs coach Bowles plans to play starters in Week 18 … Rookie Allgeier powers Falcons’ operating recreation … Brady finds Evans for 3 TDs as Bucs win NFC South … OC Byron Leftwich: Demise of Bucs offense tremendously exaggerated

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: PIT -2.5 (40.5)

What to observe for: Fueling the Steelers’ late surge is a clutch rookie quarterback and a turnover-happy protection. But the Browns aren’t a simple win. The offense turned in its finest efficiency since Deshaun Watson’s return final week, because of Watson’s three landing passes, Amari Cooper’s 105 receiving yards and Nick Chubb’s 104 dashing yards. — Brooke Pryor

Bold prediction: Kenny Pickett has delivered up to now within the clutch to maintain Pittsburgh’s playoff hopes alive. Yet once more, the rookie QB shall be down a rating late and begin a possession with the possibility to win the sport within the ultimate seconds. — Jake Trotter

Stat to know: Najee Harris is 46 dashing yards shy of a second consecutive 1,000-yard season to start out his profession (1,200 rush yards in 2021). Harris could be first participant in franchise historical past to hurry for 1,000 yards in every of his first two seasons.

What’s at stake: Pittsburgh can nonetheless make the playoffs, nevertheless it wants assist. It would wish to win and get losses from the Patriots and Dolphins. ESPN’s FPI is giving the Steelers a 15.6% likelihood. The Browns have been eradicated and don’t have a first-round choose. See playoff image.

Injuries: Browns | Steelers

Betting nugget: Six straight Cleveland video games have gone beneath the entire, together with all 5 Watson begins. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Browns 27, Steelers 21
Walder’s choose: Browns 24, Steelers 17
FPI prediction: PIT, 53.4% (by a mean of 1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Browns offense reveals first signal of progress … Pickett leads one other Steelers comeback to maintain playoffs in sight

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: CIN -7 (40.5)

What to observe for: The stakes of this recreation had been unclear early within the week, however the Bengals are actually AFC North champions. Cincinnati had a a lot more durable schedule than Baltimore, which has been with out quarterback Lamar Jackson down the stretch and misplaced three of its previous six video games. We may see a rematch of those two groups within the wild-card spherical, too, with the placement of that matchup being decided by a coin flip. — Ben Baby

Bold prediction: The Ravens will quit greater than 30 factors. Since Week 3, Baltimore is one in all two defenses to carry each opponent beneath 30 factors (Jets). But because the Ravens held the Bengals to 17 factors in Week 5, Joe Burrow and Cincinnati have averaged the third-most factors within the league (28.3 per recreation). — Jamison Hensley

Stat to know: The Bengals may match their franchise report for many wins in a season (12), completed thrice beforehand (1981, 1988 and 2015).

What’s at stake: Both groups are in, and the Bengals are AFC North champs. If the Ravens win Sunday and are matched towards Cincinnati in an AFC wild-card recreation, the location could be decided by a coin flip. If Cincinnati wins or if the 2 groups usually are not matched towards one another after a possible Ravens win, common scheduling procedures could be used. See playoff image.

Injuries: Ravens | Bengals

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Betting nugget: Baltimore has not been greater than a three-point underdog this season. Since 2018, Baltimore is 16-3-1 ATS as an underdog, together with 6-2 ATS with out Jackson. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Bengals 24, Ravens 13
Walder’s choose: Bengals 27, Ravens 10
FPI prediction: CIN, 58.2% (by a mean of two.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Ravens prepared for ‘distinctive’ Bengals showdown … Bengals’ Taylor praises Bills coach for response … Taylor’s spouse gathering well-wishes for Hamlin

4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: DAL -7 (41)

What to observe for: Washington will begin rookie quarterback Sam Howell, the eighth totally different starter in coach Ron Rivera’s three seasons and the thirty third to start out for the franchise because it final received the Super Bowl after the 1991 season. He’ll get to face the NFL’s Tenth-ranked cross protection, which has recorded the third-most sacks and is tied for the sixth-most interceptions. — John Keim

Bold prediction: The Cowboys will win the NFC East with a win and change into the No. 2 seed within the playoffs, with the Eagles dropping to the Giants. They will change into the primary crew to repeat as NFC East winners because the Eagles received 4 straight from 2001-04. By being the No. 2 seed, the Cowboys will get at the least one house recreation at AT&T Stadium, nevertheless it’s additionally attainable they are going to face Aaron Rodgers if the Packers beat the Lions on Sunday evening. Wouldn’t that be a matchup for Cowboys followers to dread, figuring out Rodgers’ historical past towards the Cowboys? — Todd Archer

Stat to know: The Cowboys are searching for their thirteenth win this season, which might tie their franchise report for a single season (1992, 2007 and 2016).



Dan Graziano and Mike Greenberg talk about whether or not the Cowboys ought to play their starters with solely a small likelihood on the No. 1 seed within the NFC.

What’s at stake: Washington is out, however Dallas is in — and nonetheless in rivalry for the NFC East and the convention’s No. 1 seed. A win and an Eagles loss clinches the division title, and an extra 49ers loss would additionally hand the Cowboys the first-round bye within the playoffs. ESPN’s FPI is giving Dallas a 14.9% likelihood on the division and 1.6% likelihood on the NFC’s high seed. Washington, in the meantime, is projected to choose at No. 14 within the draft and has a 1.1% likelihood to slide into the highest 10. See playoff image.

Injuries: Cowboys | Commanders

Betting nugget: Washington is 0-4 ATS in its previous 4 video games. Eleven of its previous 14 video games have gone over the entire. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Cowboys 33, Commanders 17
Walder’s choose: Cowboys 26, Commanders 19
FPI prediction: DAL, 83.6% (by a mean of 11.7 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Prescott is aware of he is ‘acquired to cease’ throwing INTs for Cowboys to make Super Bowl run … Commanders to start out rookie Howell in finale … Will Dallas be No. 1 in NFC? … Why begin Howell now and what’s subsequent for Wentz, Rivera

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: PHI -14 (43)

What to observe for: All eyes are on whether or not quarterback Jalen Hurts (sprained throwing shoulder) will play for the primary time since Dec. 18. If not, it is going to be Gardner Minshew for a 3rd straight week. The Giants are locked into the No. 6 seed, that means they’ve the chance to relaxation key starters on this one in the event that they select. — Tim McManus

Bold prediction: The Giants maintain this recreation shut, regardless of resting a few of their high gamers. This has been a pesky bunch for essentially the most half, minus the 26-point loss to the Eagles of their earlier assembly. Who cares if the Giants are 14-point underdogs on this one? They will give the Eagles suits with that fourth-ranked dashing assault. — Jordan Raanan

Stat to know: A.J. Brown is 9 receiving yards shy of breaking the Eagles’ single-season report set by Mike Quick in 1983 (1,409).



Adam Schefter could be shocked to not see Jalen Hurts enjoying in Week 18 given what’s at stake for the Eagles.

What’s at stake: The Giants are locked into the No. 6 seed. But whereas the Eagles locked up a playoff spot weeks in the past, they nonetheless have one thing to play for right here. A win offers Philly the NFC East title and the highest seed within the convention. But if the Eagles lose, they’d want a Dallas loss to win the division and an extra 49ers loss to nonetheless take the convention’s high seed. ESPN’s FPI is giving Philadelphia an 85.1% likelihood to win the NFC East and an 82.4% likelihood to carry off Dallas and San Francisco for the first-round bye within the playoffs. See playoff image.

Injuries: Giants | Eagles

Betting nugget: New York is 9-2 ATS as an underdog this season and 6-1 ATS on the street (all as an underdog). Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Eagles 28, Giants 20
Walder’s choose: Eagles 30, Giants 12
FPI prediction: PHI, 81.8% (by a mean of 10.7 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Daboll mum on Giants’ Week 18 strategy vs. Eagles … Mock draft: Eagles want defenders in first spherical … The Jones debate is over after Giants clinch playoffs … Thibodeaux not bothered by Jeff Saturday criticism

4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: SEA -6 (41.5)

What to observe for: The Seahawks want a win to maintain their playoff hopes alive. But earlier than beating the Jets final week, the Seahawks had misplaced 5 of their previous six video games. The Rams had been the one crew they beat throughout that stretch, and the Seahawks wanted a late Geno Smith landing drive to do it. — Brady Henderson

Bold prediction: Bobby Wagner will break the Rams’ single-season report for tackles (142) towards his former crew. Wagner wants 10 tackles to interrupt the mark. In the primary recreation between Seattle and Los Angeles this season, Wagner had seven tackles, two sacks and an interception. — Sarah Barshop

Stat to know: The Seahawks have not missed the playoffs in consecutive seasons beneath Pete Carroll.

What’s at stake: ESPN’s FPI is giving Seattle a 20.7% likelihood to make the playoffs. The Seahawks have to win after which have the Lions beat the Packers on Sunday evening. The Rams are out and don’t have a first-round draft choose. See playoff image.

Injuries: Rams | Seahawks

Betting nugget: Seattle is 1-6 ATS in its previous seven video games regardless of overlaying towards the Jets final week. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Seahawks 31, Rams 19
Walder’s choose: Seahawks 23, Rams 22
FPI prediction: SEA, 61.8% (by a mean of three.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Wagner says Seahawks ‘gave up’ on him … The Seahawks’ playoff hopes come right down to Week 18 … Carroll: Seahawks LB Brooks has ‘legit’ ACL damage

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: DEN -2.5 (39.5)

What to observe for: Keep an eye fixed on which Chargers lineup takes the sphere towards the Broncos. Los Angeles may have its playoff seed locked in by kickoff, and if that is the case, some starters may relaxation. If so, Broncos QB Russell Wilson, who’s on monitor for a career-low in landing passes and already has a career-high in sacks (53), has a greater likelihood at ending the season on a excessive be aware. — Jeff Legwold

Bold prediction: The Bolts will do all the pieces attainable to get operating again Austin Ekeler the ball within the pink zone to provide the undrafted sixth-year operating again an opportunity to hitch elite firm. Ekeler wants two touchdowns to hitch LaDainian Tomlinson, Shaun Alexander, Priest Holmes, Marshall Faulk and Emmitt Smith as the one gamers in NFL historical past with 20 touchdowns in consecutive seasons. — Lindsey Thiry

Stat to know: Justin Herbert already has essentially the most passing yards (13,816) via his first three seasons of anybody in NFL historical past.

What’s at stake: The Chargers are locked right into a wild-card berth, whereas the Broncos are eradicated (and don’t have a first-round choose). See playoff image.

Injuries: Chargers | Broncos

Betting nugget: Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS as a street favourite this season. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Chargers 23, Broncos 19
Walder’s choose: Chargers 20, Broncos 13
FPI prediction: LAC, 77.2% (by a mean of 8.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Chargers’ Carter: Substitute teacher-turned-special groups standout … Three changes Broncos interim coach Rosburg ought to proceed to make

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4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: SF -14 (40)

What to observe for: San Francisco enters Sunday’s recreation with a nine-game successful streak and an opportunity to say the No. 1 seed within the NFC. The final time the 49ers entered the playoffs with a successful streak of 9 or extra video games was in 1984, which ended with a Super Bowl XIX victory. — Josh Weinfuss

Bold prediction: There’s nothing to play for, accidents have riddled the roster and the Cardinals are trotting out their fourth staring quarterback of the season in David Blough. But Blough could have the perfect recreation of his profession, throwing for 300 yards, two landing passes and an interception. One of these scores will go to A.J. Green, who is perhaps enjoying the final recreation of his profession, and the opposite will discover Marquise Brown on a deep ball. — Weinfuss

Stat to know: The 49ers’ nine-game successful streak is their longest since successful 11 straight in 1997.

What’s at stake: The NFC West champion Niners nonetheless have an out of doors shot on the No. 1 seed within the convention. They have to win and see the Eagles lose. ESPN’s FPI is giving San Francisco a 16.1% likelihood. Arizona, in the meantime, is eradicated and looking out on the No. 4 draft choose (97.6% to finish up within the high 5). See playoff image.

Injuries: Cardinals | 49ers

Betting nugget: San Francisco is 6-1 ATS as a house favourite this season, with 4 straight covers. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: 49ers 35, Cardinals 17
Walder’s choose: 49ers 24, Cardinals 20
FPI prediction: SF, 89.9% (by a mean of 15.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Kingsbury: Murray ‘in all probability’ will not be again to open subsequent season … Purdy earns excessive marks for main 49ers from behind

8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Spread: GB -5 (49)

What to observe for: The final time these two groups performed, the Lions picked off Aaron Rodgers thrice. Only 4 different instances in Rodgers’ profession has he been picked off that many instances in a recreation. Lately, it has been the Packers’ protection that has been producing takeaways. It has eight up to now two video games and 12 complete within the present four-game successful streak. — Rob Demovsky

Bold prediction: Jamaal Williams will break Barry Sanders’ franchise report for many dashing touchdowns in a single season (16). The former Green Bay operating again wants only one to tie Sanders and two to personal the report. He at present leads the NFL in dashing touchdowns (15) and is coming off a season-high 144-yard dashing efficiency towards the Bears as he prepares to face his outdated squad. — Eric Woodyard

Stat to know: Both the Packers and Lions misplaced 5 straight at one level this season. The winner of this recreation may change into one of many uncommon groups to lose five-plus straight video games and nonetheless get well to make the postseason.

What’s at stake: If the Packers win, they clinch a playoff spot. ESPN’s FPI says there’s a 66.7% likelihood. But if the Lions win, they clinch — so long as Seattle loses earlier within the day. Detroit has a 12.5% likelihood. See playoff image.

Injuries: Lions | Packers

Betting nugget: Green Bay is 17-9 ATS in its previous 26 video games as a house favourite. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Lions 31, Packers 26
Walder’s choose: Lions 27, Packers 23
FPI prediction: GB, 66.4% (by a mean of 4.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Answering the largest questions forward of Packers-Lions showdown … How the Packers, Lions can win their large Week 18 matchup … Lions treating Pack showdown like playoff recreation

Saturday’s video games

Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN/ABC/ESPN+ | Spread: JAX -6.5 (40)

What to observe for: The winner takes the AFC South title whereas the loser virtually definitely misses the playoffs. The groups are streaking in reverse instructions: The Jaguars have received 4 in a row, and the Titans have misplaced six straight. The Titans are beginning journeyman QB Joshua Dobbs, whereas the Jaguars have Trevor Lawrence, who leads the league in completion proportion since November started. The Titans have not scored greater than 14 factors of their previous three video games, whereas the Jaguars have solely given up six mixed factors of their previous two video games. It looks as if a simple Jaguars victory, however the Jags have not swept the season collection with the Titans since 2005. — Mike DiRocco

Bold prediction: The Titans will rating at the least 24 factors. That’s rather a lot contemplating how Tennessee has damaged the 20-point mark solely as soon as throughout its six-game dropping streak. The Jaguars have allowed solely 13.3 factors per recreation over the previous three weeks, however Dobbs will carry stability to the offense by passing for 250 yards, whereas Derrick Henry could have a 150-yard dashing efficiency. — Turron Davenport

Stat to know: Lawrence wants 99 yards to change into the third 4,000-yard passer in Jaguars historical past (2015 Blake Bortles, 1996 Mark Brunell).

What’s at stake: It’s win-and-in for each groups right here. The winner of this recreation will take the AFC South. But whereas the Titans could be eradicated with a loss, the Jaguars may nonetheless make the playoffs in the event that they fail to win Saturday. Jacksonville would wish losses from the Patriots, Dolphins and Steelers. See playoff image.

Injuries: Titans | Jaguars

Betting nugget: Tennessee is 0-5-1 ATS in its previous six video games. Ten of Tennessee’s previous 13 video games have gone beneath the entire, together with three straight. Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Titans 27, Jaguars 20
Walder’s choose: Jaguars 31, Titans 7
FPI prediction: JAX, 85.2% (by a mean of 12.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Titans to start out Dobbs at QB vs. Jaguars … Jaguars flip consideration to Titans after routing Texans … Jaguars followers vote for crew’s Week 18 uniform towards Titans

Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET | ESPN/ABC/ESPN+ | Spread: KC -9 (52)

What to observe for: Time to see if Jarrett Stidham’s first-ever NFL begin towards the 49ers’ top-rated protection was a one-off now that the Chiefs have recreation movie on him. Stidham, who would be the first Raiders QB aside from Derek Carr to start out towards Kansas City since Matt McGloin in 2013, has a pair of high-powered belongings to work with. Running again Josh Jacobs has rushed for 1,608 yards and could possibly be the Raiders’ first dashing champ since Marcus Allen in 1985, whereas receiver Davante Adams wants 5 catches for his third straight 100-reception season and is averaging a career-best 15.2 yards per catch whereas main the league with 14 landing receptions. — Paul Gutierrez

Bold prediction: Patrick Mahomes and Stidham will mix to throw for greater than 700 yards. The Chiefs and Raiders characteristic two of the NFL’s worst cross defenses, tied for thirtieth in opposing QBR (55.0). Both groups are additionally within the backside 10 in opponent completion proportion and touchdown-to-interception ratio. — Adam Teicher

Stat to know: Travis Kelce is one receiving landing shy of changing into the primary tight finish with 10,000 receiving yards and 70 receiving TDs inside their first 10 seasons.

What’s at stake: The Chiefs have already secured the AFC West title they usually can lock up the 1-seed within the AFC with a win or a loss by the Bills. The Raiders have been eradicated and are projected to land the No. 7 draft choose in April. See playoff image.

Injuries: Chiefs | Raiders

Betting nugget: Kansas City is 4-10 towards the unfold (ATS) as a street favourite of at the least seven factors beneath Andy Reid (4-8 ATS with Mahomes, together with 5 straight ATS losses). Read extra.

Moody’s choose: Chiefs 32, Raiders 24
Walder’s choose: Chiefs 27, Raiders 20
FPI prediction: KC, 90% (by a mean of 15.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Chiefs activate vast receiver Hardman from IR … Brady? Garoppolo? Stidham? Looking on the Raiders’ 2023 QB choices … Adams hopes to be saved in loop on Raiders’ QB resolution


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