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SAG Awards nominations evaluation: What it means for Oscars


The Screen Actors Guild Awards nominations landed Wednesday. And as a result of the actors department is the movement image academy’s largest faction — the world actually does revolve round actors! — these nominations provide a dependable indication of how the Oscar appearing races will take form.

Last 12 months, as an illustration, SAG Awards movie nominations voters, a panel of two,500 randomly chosen SAG-AFTRA members, have been early supporters of “CODA,” giving Siân Heder’s candy dramedy nods for ensemble and supporting actor Troy Kotsur. It went on to win each prizes, and Kotsur and the movie prevailed on the Oscars as properly.

Of course, SAG voters additionally thought “House of Gucci” was perfetto final 12 months too, whereas their barely extra restrained academy counterparts weren’t as gaga for Ridley Scott’s mirthless meatball of a film. Actors often can’t resist hammy performances, even when they’re coated in sweaty desperation as they have been in Damien Chazelle’s dire “Babylon.”

Who else was handed over? And whose Irish eyes are smiling? Here’s a rundown. The winners shall be introduced on Feb. 26 throughout a ceremony aired on Netflix’s YouTube channel, the start of a multi-year partnership with the streamer that may land the 2024 present on Netflix. That deal is the start of the inevitable — all awards reveals, together with, finally, the Oscars shall be heading to streaming platforms. Think about it: No time crunch! The present and speeches can go on ceaselessly … identical to “Babylon.”

DOWN: “Top Gun: Maverick”

An enormous query surrounding the blockbuster’s possibilities to win finest image hinges on its help throughout the actors department. With no nomination for its ensemble — RIP “Hangman” and all the remainder — it will appear that actors view the film extra as a enjoyable, adrenaline-fueled popcorn motion flick. Not that there’s something unsuitable with that.

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UP: Adam Sandler, “Hustle”

The usually press-shy Sandler has been campaigning laborious for his honest, soulful efficiency as a basketball scout on this well-liked Netflix movie. Sandler has proved greater than able to robust dramatic work in such motion pictures as “Uncut Gems” and “Punch-Drunk Love,” and it will seem that voters have lastly caught up with the hassle.

DOWN: Tom Cruise, “Top Gun: Maverick”

Yes, we cherished watching Cruise reprise his flyboy factor, however voters weren’t impressed. Didn’t they see the great vary between Maverick, Ethan Hunt and Jack Reacher??

UP: “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

A few weeks again, I wrote that the Daniels’ trippy sci-fi household drama would win the SAG Awards’ ensemble prize and voters did certainly embrace it wholeheartedly, nominating actors Michelle Yeoh, Ke Huy Quan, Stephanie Hsu and Jamie Lee Curtis individually and the stellar ensemble as properly. Quan stands as a favourite to win the supporting actor prize on what shapes up as a giant haul for the movie.

DOWN: Michelle Williams, “The Fabelmans”

Results for Steven Spielberg’s film reminiscence piece have been combined. It did decide up an ensemble nod and a person nomination for supporting actor Paul Dano. But Judd Hirsch’s scene-stealing flip didn’t register and, most surprisingly, Michelle Williams didn’t safe lead actress recognition for her emotionally vivid efficiency.

UP: Ana de Armas, “Blonde”

Andrew Dominik’s Marilyn Monroe biopic was divisive to say the least. But even those that discovered it hateful and altogether too centered on Monroe’s struggling praised De Armas’ vulnerability. What humanity does come by way of within the film is derived utterly from her uncooked openness. Colin Farrell wasn’t the one one who cried himself to sleep after watching De Armas within the film.

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UP: “Women Talking”

Sarah Polley’s sensible drama of religion and forgiveness premiered to nice acclaim on the Telluride Film Festival, however, like many difficult movies this fall, has struggled to draw moviegoers. An ensemble nod boosts the movie’s profile as Oscar voting begins Thursday.

DOWN: “The Woman King”

One of a number of motion pictures jockeying on the again finish of the Oscars’ finest image race, this motion epic concerning the Agojie, the all-female unit of warriors who protected the African kingdom of Dahomey within the 1800s, may have used an ensemble nod to go together with its lead actress nomination for star Viola Davis.

UP: “The Banshees of Inisherin”

Like “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Martin McDonagh’s unhappy, haunting research of a damaged friendship earned 4 particular person appearing honors, for Colin Farrell, Brendan Gleeson, Barry Keoghan and Kerry Condon, and an ensemble nod — for precisely these 4 actors. (Jenny the Donkey was robbed.) Could this intimate drama — which performs properly each on screens massive and small — be the contender that sneaks up and wins the Oscar?


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